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P-Curve Analysis: Test for Evidential Value

Enter the focal test from each study (for example t(28) = 2.9) to see the distribution of significant p-values and test whether the set of findings contains evidential value.

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0%25%50%75%100%33%44%0%0%22%.01.02.03.04.05p-valueObserved (9 significant results)No effect33% power

Stouffer tests (9 of 10 results significant; 7 with p < .025)

Right-skew, full p-curveZ = -0.85, p = 0.196
Right-skew, half p-curveZ = -0.70, p = 0.241
Flatter than 33% power, fullZ = -0.91, p = 0.181
Flatter than 33% power, halfZ = 2.35, p = 0.991

The p-curve is inconclusive: it shows neither clear right skew nor clear flatness.

Include only one statistically independent, focal result per study, and use the exact test statistics reported. Results match the published p-curve app (version 4.06).

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How to Use the P-Curve Analysis

  1. 1

    Enter one test per line

    Formats: t(df)=x, F(df1,df2)=x, r(df)=x, z=x or chi2(df)=x.

  2. 2

    Read the curve

    Compare the observed p-curve with the curves expected under no effect and under 33% power.

  3. 3

    Report

    Copy the right-skew and flatness tests for the full and half p-curves.

What p-curve tells you

P-curve looks only at statistically significant results (p < .05). If the studied effects are real, small p-values (such as p < .01) should be more common than p-values just under .05, giving a right-skewed curve. A flat or left-skewed curve suggests the findings lack evidential value or may reflect selective reporting.

The half p-curve uses only results with p < .025, which makes it more robust to ambitious p-hacking. Choose one focal test per study, decided before looking at the results, and document your choices in a disclosure table.

How it is calculated

Sources

P-Curve Analysis: FAQ

Can I enter p-values directly?

No. P-curve needs the test statistic and degrees of freedom so it can compute each result's probability under different effect sizes.

How many studies do I need?

There is no fixed minimum, but the tests have little power with only a handful of significant results; interpret small p-curves cautiously.

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